All Races
Agriculture Commissioner
StatewideNate Sheets upset three-term incumbent Sid Miller, winning the Republican primary with 52.6%. Democrat Clayton Tucker ran unopposed.
Incumbent: Sid Miller(R)
Primary — Mar 3, 2026GOP runoff likelyLikely R
Heads the Texas Department of Agriculture — administers school nutrition programs feeding 5.4 million students, regulates pesticides and weights and measures.
Agriculture Commissioner
Primary Results
Called · 100% reporting
Republican Primary
Nate Sheets wins
Nate Sheets
52.7%
1,045,330 votes
Sid Miller(i)
47.3%
939,590 votes
Democratic Primary
Clayton Tucker wins
Clayton Tucker
100.0%
1,928,300 votes
Polls vs. Results
Republican Primary
Biggest miss: Nate Sheets — polls were off by 34.7 points
| Candidate | Party | Poll prediction (%) | Actual result (%) | Difference | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Sheets | Republican | 18% | 52.7% | +34.7 | Winner |
| Sid Miller | Republican | 48% | 47.3% | -0.7 |
Republican Primary
Sid Miller Incumbent
48%Nate Sheets
18%Founder of Nature Nate's Honey; rancher
Democratic Primary
Clayton Tucker
Campaign organizer
Agriculture Commissioner
GOP Primary
Runoff WatchSid Miller(i)
48%
Nate Sheets
18%
| Candidate | Support |
|---|---|
| Sid Miller | 48% |
| Nate Sheets | 18% |
Key Dates
Primary ElectionMar 3, 2026
General ElectionNov 3, 2026
Runoff date: May 26, 2026
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