Agriculture Commissioner
StatewideNate Sheets (R) faces Clayton Tucker (D) for Agriculture Commissioner on November 3, 2026.
Clayton Tucker vs. Nate SheetsOn the November 3 ballot
Democrat: Clayton Tucker
Republican: Nate SheetsAlso on the ballot: Austin R. Kelly (Libertarian)
Nate Sheets upset three-term incumbent Sid Miller, winning the Republican primary with 52.7%. Democrat Clayton Tucker ran unopposed.
Heads the Texas Department of Agriculture, administers school nutrition programs feeding 5.4 million students, regulates pesticides and weights and measures.
November General Election
Nov 3, 2026No major handicapper rates Texas down-ballot statewide races. Nate Sheets (R), who unseated three-term incumbent Sid Miller in the primary, faces Clayton Tucker (D). No Democrat has won any statewide Texas office since 1994. The rating reflects structural lean, not a forecast.
November polling
Scroll across to compare candidates and reported gaps.
| Pollster | Date | Sample | Sheets | Tucker | Undec. | Reported gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stratus IntelligencePolitical sponsor · excluded from average | Sep 24, 2026 | 865 LV±3.5 MOE | 47% | 41% | 12% | Sheets +6 |
Methodology and source notes: Stratus Intelligence, Sep 24, 2026Stratus Intelligence memo, fielded September 22 to 24, 2026 among 865 likely voters; 81% SMS-to-web and 19% live phone; ±3.5 points. The memo names no sponsor and publishes neither question wording nor weighting. Breitbart (September 29) and the Wikipedia Senate-race listing report the poll was conducted for Texans for a Conservative Majority. Sponsored poll, shown with the sponsor disclosed and excluded from the headline average. Undecided 12%. Original poll release (opens in new tab) | ||||||
| Texas Public Opinion ResearchPolitical sponsor · excluded from average | Aug 24, 2026 | 1,000 LV±3.3 MOE | 44% | 40% | — | Sheets +4 |
Methodology and source notes: Texas Public Opinion Research, Aug 24, 2026TPOR director Luke Warford is a Democratic strategist. Ballot named Libertarian Austin Kelly at 1% and Green Alfred Molison at 1%. Fielded before the Aug 28 ballot certification; the ballot test named Green candidate Alfred Molison, who did not qualify for the November ballot. Original poll release (opens in new tab) | ||||||
Each row is one poll, shown as reported. Headline cards separately average eligible independent likely-voter polls; see the methodology page. The reported gap is the difference between candidate percentages, not a finding of a statistically significant lead. An undecided share appears only when explicitly recorded from the source; a dash means it has not been recorded. Independently rounded categories may not sum to 100%. Likely-voter (LV) and registered-voter (RV) samples are not directly comparable.
The November ballot, explained
Texas race coverage by email, only when something changes before Nov 3.
Primary Results
Winner.Nate Sheets
Sid Miller(i)
Winner.Clayton TuckerPolls vs. Results
Republican Primary
| Candidate | Party | Poll prediction (%) | Actual result (%) | Difference | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Sheets | Republican | 18% | 52.7% | +34.7 | Winner |
| Sid Miller | Republican | 48% | 47.3% | -0.7 |
Republican nominee
Founder of Nature Nate's Honey; rancher
Democratic nominee
Campaign organizer
Also on the ballot
- Austin R. KellyLibertarian
Certified for the November 3 ballot by the Texas Secretary of State, August 28, 2026.
Agriculture Commissioner
GOP Primary
Runoff Watch| Candidate | Support |
|---|---|
| Sid Miller | 48% |
| Nate Sheets | 18% |
Frequently Asked
Who is running for Texas Agriculture Commissioner in 2026?
Nate Sheets (R) faces Clayton Tucker (D) in the November 3, 2026 general election.
When is the 2026 Texas Agriculture Commissioner election?
The general election is November 3, 2026. The voter registration deadline is October 5, early voting runs October 19 to 30, and mail-ballot applications are due October 23.
Is the 2026 Texas Agriculture Commissioner race competitive?
No major handicapper rates this race. TexPolls lists it as Likely Republican based on Texas's structural partisan lean and recent statewide results, not a forecast. No Democrat has won a statewide Texas office since 1994.
What does the Texas Agriculture Commissioner do?
Heads the Texas Department of Agriculture, administers school nutrition programs feeding 5.4 million students, regulates pesticides and weights and measures.
How were the 2026 Agriculture Commissioner nominees decided?
Nate Sheets upset three-term incumbent Sid Miller, winning the Republican primary with 52.7%. Democrat Clayton Tucker ran unopposed.
Who else is on the ballot for Agriculture Commissioner in 2026?
Beyond the Republican and Democratic nominees, Austin R. Kelly is the Libertarian candidate. The full November 3 ballot was certified by the Texas Secretary of State on August 28, 2026.