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Agriculture Commissioner

Statewide

Nate Sheets upset three-term incumbent Sid Miller, winning the Republican primary with 52.7%. Democrat Clayton Tucker ran unopposed.

Incumbent: Sid Miller(R)

Primary, Mar 3, 2026GOP runoff likely

Heads the Texas Department of Agriculture, administers school nutrition programs feeding 5.4 million students, regulates pesticides and weights and measures.

Called · 100% reporting
Republican Primary
Nate Sheets wins
Nate SheetsWinner.Nate Sheets
52.7%
Sid MillerSid Miller(i)
47.3%
Democratic Primary
Clayton Tucker wins
Clayton TuckerWinner.Clayton Tucker
100.0%
Updated Mar 21, 9:56 PM CT·TX SOS (opens in new tab)·Called by AP

Polls vs. Results

Republican Primary

Biggest miss: Nate Sheets, polls were off by 34.7 points
Prediction vs. reality, poll predictions compared to actual results
CandidatePartyPoll prediction (%)Actual result (%)DifferenceWinner
Nate SheetsRepublican18%52.7%+34.7Winner
Sid MillerRepublican48%47.3%-0.7

Key Dates

Primary ElectionMar 3, 2026
General ElectionNov 3, 2026

Runoff date: May 26, 2026

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