Agriculture Commissioner

Texas Southern University, Oct. 25, 2026

Fielded October 21-25, 2026; released October 29. The Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center at TSU reports a probability-based sample of 2,000 likely voters, +/-2.19-point margin of error, and a two-part likely-voter screen supplemented by past election participation. A random sample of registered voters was contacted by SMS and directed to an online survey in English or Spanish; weighted by multidimensional calibration on demographic, historical electoral, and geographic benchmarks. A little more than one-third of respondents had already voted, and the report calls the result vote intention. The report names no outside sponsor, publishes no question wording, and describes no leaned follow-up. Libertarian Austin Kelly 2%, unsure 6%.

Texas Public Opinion Research, Oct. 18, 2026

Fielded October 15-18, 2026, via an online panel; n=969 likely voters, margin of error ±3.9 points; weighted by gender, race, age, education, income, geography, and 2024 vote recall. Shown with leaners (Q53, "Intermediate Push," after undecided respondents were asked which candidate they lean toward). First-choice result (Q51): Sheets 47%, Tucker 45%, undecided 6%. Libertarian Austin Kelly 2%; would not vote in that race shown as "-" in the topline. Still not sure after the lean question: 3%. TPOR's release headlines a "Final Push" result that asks remaining undecided respondents a second time and leaves none undecided; that forced result is not used. TPOR describes itself as a nonpartisan polling initiative and names no external commissioner. The site's copyright line names Luke Warford, whom the Texas Tribune (June 6, 2024) describes as the Texas Democratic Party's former chief strategy officer. This topline's page footer reads "Prepared by Slingshot Strategies"; September's read "Prepared by Texas Public Opinion Research."

University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs, Oct. 14, 2026

Fielded Oct. 10 to 14, 2026 among 2,000 Texas likely voters contacted by SMS text and directed to an online survey, in English or Spanish. It was weighted by multidimensional calibration on demographic, historical electoral, and geographic benchmarks. The margin of error is ±2.19 points. The report and its Oct. 19 release publish no question wording and no separate questionnaire or topline document (as of Oct. 19, 2026, the Hobby School's Texas 2026 page links only this report, which prints the topline results). The report prints an undecided share and describes no leaner follow-up, the same disclosure standard as other polls in the average. No outside sponsor is named. Released Oct. 19, 2026. Libertarian Austin Kelly 2%, undecided 12%.

Stratus Intelligence, Sept. 24, 2026

Stratus Intelligence memo, fielded September 22 to 24, 2026 among 865 likely voters; 81% SMS-to-web and 19% live phone; ±3.5 points. The memo names no sponsor and publishes neither question wording nor weighting. Breitbart (September 29) and the Wikipedia Senate-race listing report the poll was conducted for Texans for a Conservative Majority. Sponsored poll, shown with the sponsor disclosed and excluded from the headline average. Undecided 12%.

Texas Public Opinion Research, Aug. 24, 2026

TPOR director Luke Warford is a Democratic strategist. Ballot named Libertarian Austin Kelly at 1% and Green Alfred Molison at 1%. Fielded before the Aug. 28 ballot certification. The ballot test named Green candidate Alfred Molison, who did not qualify for the November ballot.