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Railroad Commissioner

Statewide

Incumbent James Wright (31.9%) and Bo French (31.7%) head to a May 26 Republican runoff in a tight five-way race. Jon Rosenthal ran unopposed for Democrats.

Incumbent: James Wright(R)

Primary — Mar 3, 2026GOP runoff likelyToss-Up

Despite the name, regulates Texas's oil, gas, and mining industries — not railroads. Oversees an industry producing 43% of U.S. crude oil, sets drilling permits, pipeline safety rules, and environmental standards.

Railroad Commissioner

Primary Results

Called · 100% reporting
Republican Primary
James Wright(i)
32.1%
Advancing to runoff
Bo French
31.7%
Advancing to runoff
James Matlock
19.3%
Katherine Culbert
9.2%
Hawk Dunlap
7.7%
Democratic Primary
Jon Rosenthal wins
Jon Rosenthal
100.0%
Updated 9:56 PM CT·TX SOS (opens in new tab)·Called by AP

Polls vs. Results

Republican Primary

Biggest miss: James Wright — polls were off by 11.1 points
Prediction vs. reality — poll predictions compared to actual results
CandidatePartyPoll prediction (%)Actual result (%)DifferenceWinner
James WrightRepublican21%32.1%+11.1
Bo FrenchRepublicanNo poll data31.7%N/A
James MatlockRepublican20%19.3%-0.7
Katherine CulbertRepublican8%9.2%+1.2
Hawk DunlapRepublicanNo poll data7.7%N/A

Endorsement Tracker

Republican runoff endorsements

James Wright(3)

Gov. Greg AbbottKey

Endorses James Wright

TX Oil & Gas AssociationNotable

Endorses James Wright

Also donated $25K to Wright's campaign

Todd Staples (TXOGA President)

Endorses James Wright

Former Agriculture Commissioner

Bo French(1)

Texas ValuesNotable

Endorses Bo French

Source:Texas Tribune (opens in new tab)·Campaign announcements, media reports

Key Dates

Primary ElectionMar 3, 2026
Runoff (if needed)May 26, 2026
General ElectionNov 3, 2026

Runoff date: May 26, 2026

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