All Races
Governor
StatewideAbbott ran unopposed in the GOP primary. Gina Hinojosa dominated the Democratic field with 80.0%, setting up the general election matchup.
Incumbent: Greg Abbott(R)
Primary — Mar 3, 2026Safe R
Chief executive of Texas — signs or vetoes legislation, appoints agency heads, commands the National Guard.
Governor
Primary Results
Called · 100% reporting
Republican Primary
Greg Abbott wins
Greg Abbott(i)
81.8%
1,759,888 votes
Democratic Primary
Gina Hinojosa wins
Gina Hinojosa
58.5%
1,285,334 votes
Chris Bell
9.8%
215,832 votes
Bobby Cole
5.1%
112,318 votes
Polls vs. Results
Republican Primary
Democratic Primary
Biggest miss: Chris Bell — polls were off by 15.2 points
Source:UH Hobby School (opens in new tab), UT Tyler (opens in new tab), UT Texas Politics Project (opens in new tab), TX Secretary of State (opens in new tab)
| Candidate | Party | Poll prediction (%) | Actual result (%) | Difference | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Abbott | Republican | 72% | 81.8% | +9.8 | Winner |
| Gina Hinojosa | Democratic | 59% | 58.5% | -0.5 | Winner |
| Chris Bell | Democratic | 25% | 9.8% | -15.2 | |
| Bobby Cole | Democratic | 9% | 5.1% | -3.9 |
Republican Primary
Greg Abbott Incumbent
72%Democratic Primary
Gina Hinojosa
59%State Representative, HD-49
Bobby Cole
9%Retired firefighter and cattleman
Chris Bell
25%Former U.S. Representative
Governor
GOP Primary
Greg Abbott(i)
72%
| Candidate | Support |
|---|---|
| Greg Abbott | 72% |
Dem Primary
Gina Hinojosa
59%
Chris Bell
25%
Bobby Cole
9%
| Candidate | Support |
|---|---|
| Gina Hinojosa | 59% |
| Chris Bell | 25% |
| Bobby Cole | 9% |
General Election Matchups
Abbott 49%
Hinojosa 41%
10%
| Candidate | Support |
|---|---|
| Greg Abbott | 49% |
| Gina Hinojosa | 41% |
| Undecided | 10% |
Source:UH Hobby School (opens in new tab), UT Tyler (opens in new tab), UT Texas Politics Project (opens in new tab), Emerson College (opens in new tab)·Polls conducted Jan 2026–Feb 2026
Democratic Primary — Poll Movement
Feb → Feb
| Candidate | Feb | Feb | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gina Hinojosa | 76% | 59% | -17 |
| Chris Bell | 4% | 25% | +21 |
| Bobby Cole | 6% | 9% | +3 |
Campaign Finance
FEC filings through 2026-03-02Greg Abbott$42.0M
Spent: N/ACash: $105.0M
Cash on hand includes $30M+ in T-bills and $40M+ in investment returns from campaign funds
| Candidate | Party | Total Raised | Total Spent | Cash on Hand |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Abbott | Republican | $42,000,000 | Not available | $105,000,000 |
Prediction Markets
Market-implied probability of winning, based on contract prices.
Republican Primary
Greg Abbott100%
Abbott won with 81.76%. Market resolved. No runoff
Betting odds, not scientific polling·As of Mar 3, 2026
| Party | Candidate | Source | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Greg Abbott | Polymarket | 100% |
Key Dates
Primary ElectionMar 3, 2026
General ElectionNov 3, 2026
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