Land Commissioner
StatewideBenjamin Flores (D) won the Texas land commissioner race with 51.4% of the vote to Dawn Buckingham's (R) 47.0%, as called by the Associated Press.
Benjamin Flores vs. Dawn BuckinghamNovember 3 results
Neill Snider (Libertarian) 1.6%
State count last updated Nov. 4, 4:18 p.m. CT. Unofficial until the state canvass, between Nov. 21 and Dec. 7.
Counties must finish their canvass by Nov. 17, and totals can change until then.
Manages Texas' 13 million acres of public land. The land commissioner also oversees the Alamo, administers veterans' benefits, and runs coastal erosion programs.
Before Election Day: Ratings and Analysis
Written before Election Day and not updated with returns. Ratings and polls describe the race before any returns were reported.
Buckingham ran unopposed in the GOP primary. Benjamin Flores won the Democratic nomination with 55.6% over Jose Loya.
No major forecaster rates this race. Incumbent Dawn Buckingham (R) is defending the seat against Benjamin Flores (D). No Democrat has won any statewide Texas office since 1994.
November Polling Before Election Day
Every poll here was conducted before Election Day. They stay here for comparison with the returns.
| Pollster | Date | Sample | Flores | Buckingham | Undec. | Reported Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Southern University | Oct. 25, 2026 | 2,000 LV±2.19 MOE | 44% | 50% | 4% | Buckingham +6 |
| Texas Public Opinion ResearchPolitical sponsor · excluded from average · includes leaners | Oct. 18, 2026 | 969 LV±3.9 MOE | 46% | 49% | 2% | Buckingham +3 |
| University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs | Oct. 14, 2026 | 2,000 LV±2.19 MOE | 40% | 47% | 11% | Buckingham +7 |
| Texas Public Opinion ResearchPolitical sponsor · excluded from average | Aug. 24, 2026 | 1,000 LV±3.3 MOE | 40% | 44% | — | Buckingham +4 |
| Texas Southern University | July 30, 2026 | 1,200 LV±2.83 MOE | 40% | 45% | — | Buckingham +5 |
Texas Southern University · Oct. 25, 2026 · 2,000 LV · ±2.19 MOE
Flores 44% · Buckingham 50%Buckingham +6Undec. 4%
Texas Public Opinion Research · Oct. 18, 2026 · 969 LV · ±3.9 MOE
Flores 46% · Buckingham 49%Buckingham +3Undec. 2%
Political sponsor · excluded from average · includes leaners
University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs · Oct. 14, 2026 · 2,000 LV · ±2.19 MOE
Flores 40% · Buckingham 47%Buckingham +7Undec. 11%
Texas Public Opinion Research · Aug. 24, 2026 · 1,000 LV · ±3.3 MOE
Flores 40% · Buckingham 44%Buckingham +4
Political sponsor · excluded from average
Texas Southern University · July 30, 2026 · 1,200 LV · ±2.83 MOE
Flores 40% · Buckingham 45%Buckingham +5
Methodology and source notes for 5 polls
Texas Southern University, Oct. 25, 2026
Fielded October 21-25, 2026; released October 29. The Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center at TSU reports a probability-based sample of 2,000 likely voters, +/-2.19-point margin of error, and a two-part likely-voter screen supplemented by past election participation. A random sample of registered voters was contacted by SMS and directed to an online survey in English or Spanish; weighted by multidimensional calibration on demographic, historical electoral, and geographic benchmarks. A little more than one-third of respondents had already voted, and the report calls the result vote intention. The report names no outside sponsor, publishes no question wording, and describes no leaned follow-up. Libertarian Neill Snider 2%, unsure 4%.
Original poll release (opens in new tab)Texas Public Opinion Research, Oct. 18, 2026
Fielded October 15-18, 2026, via an online panel; n=969 likely voters, margin of error ±3.9 points; weighted by gender, race, age, education, income, geography, and 2024 vote recall. Shown with leaners (Q58, "Intermediate Push," after undecided respondents were asked which candidate they lean toward). First-choice result (Q56): Buckingham 47%, Flores 45%, undecided 5%. Libertarian Neil Snider 3%; would not vote in that race shown as "-" in the topline. Still not sure after the lean question: 2%. TPOR's release headlines a "Final Push" result that asks remaining undecided respondents a second time and leaves none undecided; that forced result is not used. TPOR describes itself as a nonpartisan polling initiative and names no external commissioner. The site's copyright line names Luke Warford, whom the Texas Tribune (June 6, 2024) describes as the Texas Democratic Party's former chief strategy officer. This topline's page footer reads "Prepared by Slingshot Strategies"; September's read "Prepared by Texas Public Opinion Research."
Original poll release (opens in new tab)University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs, Oct. 14, 2026
Fielded Oct. 10 to 14, 2026 among 2,000 Texas likely voters contacted by SMS text and directed to an online survey, in English or Spanish. It was weighted by multidimensional calibration on demographic, historical electoral, and geographic benchmarks. The margin of error is ±2.19 points. The report and its Oct. 19 release publish no question wording and no separate questionnaire or topline document (as of Oct. 19, 2026, the Hobby School's Texas 2026 page links only this report, which prints the topline results). The report prints an undecided share and describes no leaner follow-up, the same disclosure standard as other polls in the average. No outside sponsor is named. Released Oct. 19, 2026. Libertarian Neill Snider 2%, undecided 11%.
Original poll release (opens in new tab)Texas Public Opinion Research, Aug. 24, 2026
TPOR director Luke Warford is a Democratic strategist. Ballot named Libertarian Neill Snider at 2%.
Original poll release (opens in new tab)Texas Southern University, July 30, 2026
Three-way ballot incl. Neill Snider (L) 2%, with 13% undecided. About four in five likely voters could not rate either candidate. Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center. The poll used SMS-to-web, was fielded July 27 to 30, and was coauthored by Rice's Mark P. Jones. Sampling frame and weighting variables are not disclosed in the report.
Original poll release (opens in new tab)
Each row is one poll, shown as reported. Before Election Day, headline cards averaged eligible likely-voter polls of the nominees taken since the runoff, leaving out polls sponsored by campaigns or political operatives and polls held out over method or ballot differences. See the methodology page. The reported gap is the difference between candidate percentages, not a finding of a statistically significant lead. An undecided share appears only when explicitly recorded from the source; a dash means it has not been recorded. Independently rounded categories may not sum to 100%. Likely-voter (LV) and registered-voter (RV) samples are not directly comparable.
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Primary Results
Republican nominee
Democratic nominee
Bay City Council Member; cybersecurity professional
Also on the ballot
- Neill SniderLibertarian
Certified for the November 3 ballot by the Texas Secretary of State, August 28, 2026.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2026 Texas Land Commissioner race?
Benjamin Flores (D) won the Texas land commissioner race with 51.4% of the vote to Dawn Buckingham's (R) 47.0%, as called by the Associated Press. Results are unofficial until the canvass.
Who was on the 2026 ballot for Texas Land Commissioner?
Benjamin Flores (Democratic), Dawn Buckingham (Republican), and Neill Snider (Libertarian) were on the November 3 ballot.
Dawn Buckingham vs. Benjamin Flores: who was on the ballot for Texas Land Commissioner?
Incumbent Republican Dawn Buckingham and Democrat Benjamin Flores were the major-party candidates for Texas Land Commissioner on the November 3, 2026 ballot.
Where can I see 2026 results for Texas Land Commissioner?
This page publishes Texas Secretary of State returns for Texas Land Commissioner as they become available. Election-night counts are unofficial until canvassed, and TexPolls marks a race called only after a named news organization calls it.