US House · TX-2

Federal

Biggest upset of primary night, Toth ousted Crenshaw, the only Texas GOP incumbent without a Trump endorsement. Cruz-backed Toth won by 15 points. Safe Republican in the general.

Incumbent: Dan Crenshaw(R)· not running for this seat

Primary, Mar 3, 2026

Represents northwest Houston and The Woodlands in Congress, a solidly Republican suburban district.

US House · TX-2

Primary Results

Called

Republican Primary

Steve Toth wins

Steve Toth

55.8%

36,760 votes

Dan Crenshaw(i)

40.6%

26,764 votes

Martin Etwop

1.8%

1,211 votes

N. Lee Plumb

1.7%

1,104 votes

Democratic Primary

Shaun Finnie wins

Shaun Finnie

100.0%

Early returns

Updated Mar 15, 7:02 PM CT·TX SOS·Called by AP

November General Election

Nov 3, 2026

Rated Solid RepublicanCook Political Report and Inside Elections (via Ballotpedia)

Cook Political Report and Inside Elections both rate the race Solid Republican. State representative Steve Toth, who unseated incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March 3 Republican primary, faces Democrat Shaun Finnie in a solidly Republican Houston-area district.

Cook Political Report and Inside Elections (via Ballotpedia)