U.S. House · TX-34
FederalVicente Gonzalez (D) won the race for Texas' 34th Congressional District with 55.7% of the vote to Eric Flores' (R) 39.7%, as called by the Associated Press.
Vicente Gonzalez vs. Eric FloresNovember 3 results
Democrat: Vicente Gonzalez (incumbent)Winner
Republican: Eric FloresEddie Espinoza (Green) 2.3% · Chris Royal (Libertarian) 2.3%
State count last updated Nov. 4, 12:09 a.m. CT. Unofficial until the state canvass, between Nov. 21 and Dec. 7.
Counties must finish their canvass by Nov. 17, and totals can change until then.
Represents South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley in Congress.
Before Election Day: Ratings and Analysis
Written before Election Day and not updated with returns. Ratings and polls describe the race before any returns were reported.
Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate this Rio Grande Valley seat Lean Democratic (Cook moved it from Toss-Up on October 23); Inside Elections rates it a Toss-Up. Democratic incumbent Vicente Gonzalez faces Army veteran Eric Flores, who won the Republican primary outright with 56.7% over former Rep. Mayra Flores (23.7%). Gonzalez won his own primary with 62.7%.
Cook Political Report moved TX-34 from Toss-Up to Lean Democratic on October 23, joining Sabato's Crystal Ball, which moved it to Leans Democratic in September. Inside Elections rates it a Toss-Up. It is the most-watched Rio Grande Valley district for the national Latino voting-trend story. The 2025 redistricting left the district roughly Trump+10 on the new lines, a Republican tilt that Democratic incumbent Vicente Gonzalez's name recognition has so far kept competitive against Republican challenger Eric Flores. Texas Southern University surveyed 700 likely voters August 18-22 and had Gonzalez ahead 45% to 42%, with 8% undecided. An earlier Republican internal poll, commissioned by the NRCC and fielded April 25-29, had Flores ahead 41 to 40. Internal polls favor their sponsors, so that result should not be read as a neutral measure of the race.
November Polling Before Election Day
Every poll here was conducted before Election Day. They stay here for comparison with the returns.
| Pollster | Date | Sample | Gonzalez | Flores | Undec. | Reported Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Post-Schar SchoolIncludes leaners | Oct. 19, 2026 | 626 LV±5.4 MOE | 50% | 43% | 2% | Gonzalez +7 |
| Texas Southern University | Aug. 22, 2026 | 700 LV±3.7 MOE | 45% | 42% | 8% | Gonzalez +3 |
Washington Post-Schar School · Oct. 19, 2026 · 626 LV · ±5.4 MOE
Gonzalez 50% · Flores 43%Gonzalez +7Undec. 2%
Includes leaners
Texas Southern University · Aug. 22, 2026 · 700 LV · ±3.7 MOE
Gonzalez 45% · Flores 42%Gonzalez +3Undec. 8%
Methodology and source notes for 2 polls
Washington Post-Schar School, Oct. 19, 2026
Washington Post-Schar School poll, jointly sponsored and funded by The Washington Post and George Mason University's Schar School of Policy and Government; sampling, fieldwork, and data processing by Braun Research. Fielded October 14-19, 2026 by telephone (live callers on cellphones and landlines) and cellphone text-to-web, in English and Spanish, from a stratified random sample of registered voters on the L2 voter file; each district weighted separately, and every registered voter assigned a probability of voting to produce likely-voter results. TX-34: 626 likely voters, ±5.4 points including a design effect of 1.89. Green Eddie Espinosa (spelled that way in the questionnaire) 2%, Libertarian Chris Royal 1%, someone else 1%, would not vote 2%, no opinion 2%. The ballot question asks "for whom would you vote? Which one are you leaning toward right now?" and asks early voters how they voted, so the single published result includes leaners. The same release's district-level Senate and Governor results describe district voters and do not enter statewide averages.
Original poll release (opens in new tab)Texas Southern University, Aug. 22, 2026
Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center at TSU (Michael O. Adams and Mark P. Jones), August 2026 report on TX-15, TX-28, and TX-34. Fielded August 18 to 22, 2026 by SMS to registered voters, directed to an online survey in English and Spanish; likely voters identified with a likely-voter screen and past election participation. The report names no outside sponsor. TX-34: 700 likely voters, ±3.70 points; Green Eddie Espinoza 3%, Libertarian Chris Royal 2%, 8% undecided. The report describes its sampling and survey method but not its weighting; our transparency rule requires a published methodology, sample size, margin of error, and public source, and this report meets it, as TSU’s statewide polls do.
Original poll release (opens in new tab)
Each row is one poll, shown as reported. Before Election Day, headline cards averaged eligible likely-voter polls of the nominees taken since the runoff, leaving out polls sponsored by campaigns or political operatives and polls held out over method or ballot differences. See the methodology page. The reported gap is the difference between candidate percentages, not a finding of a statistically significant lead. An undecided share appears only when explicitly recorded from the source; a dash means it has not been recorded. Independently rounded categories may not sum to 100%. Likely-voter (LV) and registered-voter (RV) samples are not directly comparable.
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Primary Results
Winner.Eric Flores
Mayra Flores
Scott Mandel
Winner.Vicente Gonzalez(i)
Etienne RosasRepublican nominee
Army veteran; former Asst. U.S. Attorney
Democratic nominee
Also on the ballot
- Chris RoyalLibertarian
- Eddie EspinozaGreen
Certified for the November 3 ballot by the Texas Secretary of State, August 28, 2026.
Campaign Finance, Eliminated Candidates
Dataset updated Nov. 1, 2026Candidate accounts only. Super PACs and other outside groups are not included.
FEC · Cycle totals through Sept. 30, 2026
| Candidate | Party | Raised | Spent | Cash on Hand | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayra Flores | Republican | $1,410,274 | $1,413,070 | $32 | FEC · Cycle totals through Sept. 30, 2026 |
Campaign Finance
Dataset updated Nov. 1, 2026Candidate accounts only. Super PACs and other outside groups are not included.
FEC · Cycle totals through Oct. 14, 2026
Incumbent; cycle to date 01/01/2025–10/14/2026. Candidate ID retains TX-15 prefix from his original district, which he represented from 2017 to January 2023; he has represented TX-34 since January 2023, under the map Texas enacted in 2021.
FEC · Cycle totals through Oct. 14, 2026
Reported $668,649 in debts owed by his principal committee in his latest FEC report; endorsed by Trump. Totals combine his authorized committees, including a nominee fund terminated in April.
| Candidate | Party | Raised | Spent | Cash on Hand | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vicente Gonzalez | Democratic | $5,211,344 | $4,096,455 | $1,396,949 | FEC · Cycle totals through Oct. 14, 2026 |
| Eric Flores | Republican | $4,009,074 | $3,762,621 | $246,427 | FEC · Cycle totals through Oct. 14, 2026 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2026 race for Texas' 34th Congressional District?
Vicente Gonzalez (D) won the race for Texas' 34th Congressional District with 55.7% of the vote to Eric Flores' (R) 39.7%, as called by the Associated Press. Results are unofficial until the canvass.
Who was on the 2026 ballot for Texas' 34th Congressional District?
Vicente Gonzalez (Democratic), Eric Flores (Republican), Chris Royal (Libertarian), and Eddie Espinoza (Green) were on the November 3 ballot.
Eric Flores vs. Vicente Gonzalez: who was on the ballot for Texas' 34th Congressional District?
Republican Eric Flores and incumbent Democrat Vicente Gonzalez were the major-party candidates for Texas' 34th Congressional District on the November 3, 2026 ballot.
Where can I see 2026 results for Texas' 34th Congressional District?
This page publishes Texas Secretary of State returns for Texas' 34th Congressional District as they become available. Election-night counts are unofficial until canvassed, and TexPolls marks a race called only after a named news organization calls it.