US House · TX-15
FederalMonica De La Cruz (R) faces Bobby Pulido (D) for TX-15's U.S. House seat on November 3, 2026.
Bobby Pulido vs. Monica De La CruzOn the November 3 ballot
Democrat: Bobby Pulido
Republican: Monica De La Cruz (incumbent)Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz defends a Rio Grande Valley seat she first flipped in 2022. Her 2026 challenger is Bobby Pulido, a Latin Grammy-winning Tejano singer from Edinburg who won the Democratic primary with 67%. The 2025 redistricting made the seat more Republican-leaning (Trump +18 in 2024), but Pulido's name recognition and regional fame keep Democrats competitive.
Represents the Rio Grande Valley in Congress, McAllen, Edinburg, and surrounding RGV communities.
November polling
Scroll across to compare candidates and reported gaps.
| Pollster | Date | Sample | Cruz | Pulido | Undec. | Reported gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Southern University | Aug 22, 2026 | 700 LV±3.7 MOE | 45% | 50% | 5% | Pulido +5 |
Methodology and source notes: Texas Southern University, Aug 22, 2026Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center at TSU (Michael O. Adams and Mark P. Jones), August 2026 report on TX-15, TX-28, and TX-34. Fielded August 18 to 22, 2026 by SMS to registered voters, directed to an online survey in English and Spanish; likely voters identified with a likely-voter screen and past election participation. The report names no outside sponsor. TX-15: 700 likely voters, ±3.70 points; 5% undecided. The report describes its sampling and survey method but not its weighting; the site’s transparency rule requires methodology, sample size, margin of error, and a public source, which this report meets, the same as TSU’s statewide rows. Original poll release (opens in new tab) | ||||||
| Normington PettsPolitical sponsor · excluded from average | Jul 28, 2026 | 500 LV±4.4 MOE | 45% | 51% | — | Pulido +6 |
Methodology and source notes: Normington Petts, Jul 28, 2026Commissioned by House Majority PAC, the Democratic House super PAC; fielded Jul 23-28 and shared with Newsweek Aug 4. Sponsored poll, shown with the sponsor disclosed. Original poll release (opens in new tab) | ||||||
Each row is one poll, shown as reported. Headline cards separately average eligible independent likely-voter polls; see the methodology page. The reported gap is the difference between candidate percentages, not a finding of a statistically significant lead. An undecided share appears only when explicitly recorded from the source; a dash means it has not been recorded. Independently rounded categories may not sum to 100%. Likely-voter (LV) and registered-voter (RV) samples are not directly comparable.
Campaign Finance
Dataset updated Oct 6, 2026FEC · Cycle totals through Jun 30, 2026
Incumbent (R, TX-15).
FEC · Cycle totals through Jun 30, 2026
Democratic nominee, TX-15.
| Candidate | Party | Raised | Spent | Cash on Hand | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monica De La Cruz | Republican | $5,273,960 | $3,424,607 | $2,463,323 | FEC · Cycle totals through Jun 30, 2026 |
| Bobby Pulido | Democratic | $2,960,462 | $1,804,526 | $1,155,936 | FEC · Cycle totals through Jun 30, 2026 |
Frequently Asked
Who is running for Congress in Texas' 15th District in 2026?
Monica De La Cruz (R, incumbent) faces Bobby Pulido (D) in the November 3, 2026 general election.
When is the 2026 TX-15 election?
The general election is November 3, 2026. The voter registration deadline is October 5, early voting runs October 19 to 30, and mail-ballot applications are due October 23.
Is the 2026 TX-15 race competitive?
Cook Political Report rates it Lean Republican, Inside Elections rates it Tilt Republican, and Sabato's Crystal Ball moved it to Toss-up on Aug 26, 2026. The rating is the handicapper's assessment, not a TexPolls forecast.
What area does TX-15 cover?
Represents the Rio Grande Valley in Congress, McAllen, Edinburg, and surrounding RGV communities.
How were the 2026 TX-15 nominees decided?
Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz defends a Rio Grande Valley seat she first flipped in 2022. Her 2026 challenger is Bobby Pulido, a Latin Grammy-winning Tejano singer from Edinburg who won the Democratic primary with 67%. The 2025 redistricting made the seat more Republican-leaning (Trump +18 in 2024), but Pulido's name recognition and regional fame keep Democrats competitive.
Key Dates
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